Isil to be all
ISIS does not have any supernatural power. The point is that not just one or two countries inhaled or extend the life of the creation.
Writes. Emir Hadžikadunić
The higher level of agreement of the international community and the thinner the results of the fight against the so-called. Islamic state can not be found. Colorful military coalition has not yet gathered in the airspace of the Middle East.
About destruction and kvazitvorevine verbally agree John Kerry and Sergei Lavrov. And angry regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia allegedly shared hostility toward ISIL. The territory controlled by ISIL already bombed the US, Russian, Iranian, Saudi, Iraqi, Canadian, Dutch, Jordanian, French, Syrian, Emirati, Turkish and Qatari hunters.
Unprecedented military force unleashed on an army of 80,000 ISIL sheep. The UN Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution that allows the French "take all necessary measures" in the war by the Pope Francis called world.
Nevertheless, the so-called. Islamic State of masters from Baghdad to Aleppo territory the size of Great Britain. In doing so erases Middle Eastern border Mark Sykes and Francois G. Picot and writes new ones. Or metastasize in Afghanistan, Libya, Egypt, Lebanon, Yemen, Mali, Nigeria ... By comparison, the US military coalition in 2003 defeated the 17 Iraqi divisions than half a million troops in the blitzkrieg for only 40 days.
What explain this inconsistency? Does the degree of agreement of the international community in the fight against terrorism sheer fiction? Or ISIL sheep possess a supernatural power?
Incorrect targets
It is certain that there is a better explanation. Beneath the surface publicly declared hostility towards ISIL there are only interests.
Let's start from Syria. First of all, the so-called. Islamic countries should Bashar al-Assad on the propaganda level. The perception of the Syrian regime is not so bad compared with the rule and quasi-state.
After the terrorist attacks in Paris, isolated Syrian dictator soon to be found on the correct side. As to responsibility for the 250,000 victims, ten million refugees, total destruction of society now is not at all regime. To make it more absurd, all responsibility belongs ISIL as celebratory scores Bashar al-Assad, the same ISIL of his regime by buying oil, tanked their tanks and patching the budget hole Islamic quasi-state. It is estimated that sales from 30,000 to 40,000 barrels of ISIL can earn up to two million dollars a day.
The so-called. Islamic countries should Bashar al-Assad at the military level. ISIL must fall last because primarily opposed to military formations moderate Syrian of opposition which may be the political alternative to the ruling regime. Review of the existing front line confirms such considerations. And it is no accident that the Syrian hunters long delayed, and later at least bombed positions ISIL, just like the Russian squadron that are members of the Pentagon warned that its bombs it out on the wrong target. These false targets already mentioned as the most important reason that the Turkish air force shot down a Russian military aircraft "Su-24".
And he's been around this symbiosis with the so-called. Islamic State. More immediate meeting of senior officers of the Syrian army and ISIL sheep discovered American and Iraqi investigators while they interrogated ISIL these terrorists who are attacking US and Iraqi interests in Iraq during the occupation of that country. As material evidence, a former national security advisor of Iraq, Mowaffak Baqer al-Rubaie, publicly mentioned and satellite images of terrorist training camps located in Syria.
When the opportunity arose to lose Iran, Saudi Arabia and gain strategic allies in Damascus or Baghdad, Saudi Arabia could have a major dilemma about the enemy of your enemy. First of all, Riyadh should have a strong Sunni rebel army that opposes the spread of Iranian Shiite crescent from Iraq through Syria to Lebanon.
Saudi money flows offer the best clue. It has already published several reports on financial and other support ISIL these rebels under a different name when they were confronted proiranskoj Iraqi government from 2005 to 2011. Analysis of the Iraq Study Group in 2006 (Iraq Study Group) quoted many academic sources in the West. But this is not the beginning of the story. Prince Turki bin Faisal Al Saud, former head of the intelligence service (Mukhabarat Al Al A'amah) established a similar anti-Iranian based Saudi - Taliban relations and direct contacts with Taliban leader Mullah Omer from 1996 to 1998, which resulted in the conquest of Afghanistan and the Taliban Renting and state training foreign fighters what Ahmed Rashid announced great testimony in the book "Taliban". Saudi treatment today ISIL is a natural continuation of the mediation of war with Iran.
Time-Bomb
Even more interesting is the story about the United States, whose generals to his own confession let the genie out of the bottle on 17 September 2009. It was then that the freedom released 30,000 rebels from Iraqi prisons noise. The very fact that out of 27 high-ranking ISIL sheep out of 18 passed through the incubator of terrorism speaks for itself.
Washington frequently accuses the policy of controlled chaos in the Middle East. Syria has already become a quarantine for another killing terrorists. It is assumed that Washington is also counting on the weakening of Iranian influence, and mutual exhaustion regional actors of Turkey and Saudi Arabia.
And Israel is the ideal that all regional rivals from Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria to lose the war. Israel's Netanyahu once said, "that in Syria the bad guys on one side fighting the bad guys on the other side." This reminds of a New York Times that the United States does not want the winner in the Gulf ('' US Wants No Victory in the Gulf '') during the Iraq-Iran war. Or the statement of Henry Kissinger, "it is a pity that both can not lose this war." So it is not far from his mind that the rapid military defeat ISIL jump directly opposite the Israeli and US Middle East interests. In addition, the Gulf monarchies transparent spending tens of billions of dollars on the purchase of expensive American military equipment which can sometime be scrapped. And the wolf fed and sheep on the issue.
ISIL as angry Iranian enemy is not without its benefits even for Tehran. At the geopolitical level, Iran is allowed to Revolutionary Guards (Sepah) and special forces (Al Quds) equip and train armies of Iraq and Syria in their territory by increasing their political, military and any other dependency of Tehran. Influential Iranian circles, such as the Mahdi Taebija, speak publicly about Syria as Iran's 35th province. Without ISIL this was not possible. On the propaganda plan, Iran can also show the whole world of Sunni extremism in action.
And Turkey was late, almost at the latest of all these countries involved in the anti ISIL this military campaign. Turkish fighters bombed the positions of the so-called. Islamic State for the first time only on 25 July this year. In fact, all the Turkish calculations relating to the status, position and strength of Syrian Kurds who are close to the terrorist PKK. So even ISIL had the status of the primary enemy. While some accuse of being trafficked from Turkey also buying ISIL this oil on the black market, official Ankara seeks evidence for such allegations.
Supernatural power and instant wit
ISIS does not have any supernatural power. I will not explain this phenomenon is no quick wit / conspiracy theory / sherovana photos that fotoshopira for five minutes. The phenomenon of ISIL's military success in the Levant and can be rationally explained. First of all interests of actors who can be national, ideological, geopolitical or financial. The point is that not just one or two countries inhaled or extend the life of the creation. It is much more complex tangle of geopolitical circumstances and dirty interests that extended the agony of the Middle East.
An additional problem is that the policy of force has not made any concession to the culture of dialogue and cooperation in the region where the borders of drawing a hand Sykes and Picot. All attempts regional networking, creating schemes of collective security, inclusive political culture or interstate addiction failed. The American intervention in Iraq is one injustice replaced by another. The new government majority Shiites, who were deprived of their rights for 80 years, was neither fair, nor inclusive to minority Sunnis after 2005. To make matters worse, the collapse of the old security arrangement with a strong Iraq that balances launched a geopolitical earthquake still shaking the region of the Middle East.
The Muslim leader who was most responsible for the establishment of a democratic regime in Tunisia, Rashid Ghannouchi, warns that what is happening "is not between Islam and the West, this is a ISIL and us." In the years and months that we live equally resonant message Alija Izetbegovic imposed by the leaders of the Organization of the Islamic Conference in Tehran in 1997. "Some people think that the advantage can be achieved by terrorism. It is a fallacy that is becoming dangerously widespread. Terrorism is a reflection of our current weakness and possible cause our future impotence. "
As long as these two opinions are a minority in the Muslim political elite, the Islamic kvazitvorevina and akin to serve the particular interests and mediating the wars of Middle Eastern countries in a collective collapse of the entire region.
The views expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy Bolchata.
- 28 Nov, 2015
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